Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.442594 0.512082 0.588094 0.677305 0.779025 0.891279 1.024430
2025-07-13 0.332248 0.428143 0.543729 0.692777 0.879300 1.104385 1.395926
2025-07-20 0.279645 0.389745 0.532091 0.728420 0.990806 1.327834 1.791753
2025-07-27 0.240112 0.357111 0.517373 0.750908 1.080092 1.524663 2.167040
2025-08-03 0.206377 0.325095 0.496193 0.757796 1.143986 1.688573 2.508853
2025-08-10 0.177775 0.295129 0.472264 0.755119 1.190367 1.828250 2.825150
2025-08-17 0.153263 0.267217 0.446775 0.745253 1.222391 1.946744 3.117410
2025-08-24 0.133363 0.243490 0.424147 0.735905 1.252196 2.061866 3.411345
2025-08-31 0.114161 0.217974 0.395038 0.711805 1.254447 2.132196 3.638543
2025-09-07 0.108225 0.214793 0.402759 0.749580 1.361112 2.376663 4.163171
2025-09-14 0.094244 0.194869 0.378748 0.729223 1.366150 2.453260 4.415433
2025-09-21 0.082417 0.177319 0.356773 0.709659 1.369787 2.526321 4.665406
2025-09-28 0.072211 0.161772 0.337107 0.692941 1.378235 2.610708 4.946522
2025-10-05 0.066872 0.155490 0.334589 0.708684 1.448460 2.810846 5.450372
2025-10-12 0.064201 0.154472 0.342304 0.745085 1.560969 3.096139 6.130169
2025-10-19 0.060437 0.150488 0.343401 0.768052 1.649015 3.342248 6.755001
2025-10-26 0.055647 0.143463 0.337208 0.775087 1.705509 3.532222 7.286806
2025-11-02 0.050605 0.135084 0.327026 0.772353 1.741323 3.684078 7.754928
2025-11-09 0.045586 0.126007 0.314170 0.762276 1.760515 3.803933 8.167932
2025-11-16 0.041165 0.117754 0.302183 0.752729 1.779653 3.924533 8.590276
2025-11-23 0.036307 0.107615 0.284504 0.728115 1.763262 3.970286 8.862158
2025-11-30 0.035580 0.108428 0.293364 0.766695 1.891444 4.327891 9.806848
2025-12-07 0.031697 0.099946 0.278195 0.745904 1.882180 4.391565 10.134271